Drug Safety
○ Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Drug Safety's content profile, based on 10 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Khan, Z.; McCarthy, C.; Dalton, K.; Jungo, K. T.; Doherty, A. S.; Reeve, E.; Moriarty, F.
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Background: Adverse drug withdrawal events (ADWEs) are a key safety concern during deprescribing but remain poorly explored in pharmacovigilance systems. Objectives: To identify and compare ADWE signals across drug classes, different drugs within drug classes, and across patient characteristics, countries, and over time. Methods: A case/non-case disproportionality analysis was conducted in FDA-FAERS and EMA-EudraVigilance pharmacovigilance databases, with stratification by age (adults: 18-64, older adults: [≥]65), sex (male/female), reporting time (2004-2023 in 5-year intervals), and country (for EMA data). Disproportionality analysis (quantitative signal detection) was used to detect signals between ADWEs and drugs using the proportional reporting rate (PRR[≥]2), reporting odds ratio (ROR>1), and information component (IC>0) with case count [≥]5. Results: Overall, 158,501 reports (FDA-FAERS 145,514; EMA-EudraVigilance 12,987) included drug-event pairs related to ADWEs. In FDA-FAERS, clobetasone (IC=5.58; PRR=79.18; ROR=176.90) showed the strongest ADWE signals, followed by hydromorphone (4.85; 29.94; 37.37), hydrocodone, and paroxetine. In EMA-EudraVigilance, ethyl loflazepate (IC=6.01; PRR=119.80; ROR=197.53), clobetasone (5.39; 102.73; 155.10), veralipride, and levomethadone had the strongest signals. Most drugs maintained positive ADWE signals in analysis stratified into adults and older adults. However, among the top 10 drugs (based on highest IC values), buprenorphine/naloxone, desvenlafaxine, and baclofen in FDA-FAERS (ICs 4.95-6.05) showed stronger signals in older adults. A sex-based difference was observed, with paroxetine, venlafaxine, and buprenorphine/naloxone showing a stronger positive signal in females in both databases, whereas several opioids had stronger signals in males versus females across both databases. Conclusion: This study suggests ADWE signals for some medications differ by age and sex, potentially indicating different risks for withdrawal effects.
Watts, K.; Lin, R. C.; Lynch, S.; Warning, J.; Barr, J. J.; Ben Zakour, N.; Campbell, A.; Chan, J.; Collie, L.; Hedges, M.; Hudson, B.; Irwin, A.; Khatami, A.; Kicic, A.; Laucirica, D.; Lauter, C.; Ling, K.-m.; Ng, R.; Pavuk, N.; Rahmatullah, R.; Sinclair, H.; Tucker, E.; Vreugde, S.; Warner, M.; Velickovic, Z.; iredell, j.
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Objective As antimicrobial resistance (AMR) continues to threaten global public health, bacteriophage therapy products (BTPs) offer a promising alternative to conventional antimicrobials. However, translation into routine clinical practice requires best practice standards for manufacturing and quality control to ensure the consistent safety, quality, and reliability of personalised BTPs produced for individual patients or small cohorts. Design A modified Delphi methodology was used to develop consensus statements, engaging experts from Australia's National Bacteriophage Therapy Regulatory Working Group across the fields of clinical microbiology, phage biology, good manufacturing practice (GMP), regulatory science, and government. The process comprised three iterative phases: (1) structured statement development, (2) an anonymous REDCap survey, and (3) a hybrid consensus meeting. The strength of evidence and recommendations was assessed using the GRADE (Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation) framework. Results Consensus was reached on 35 statements to provide best practice manufacture and quality control guidance for BTPs. These statements address requirements for phage identification and characterisation; define the point at which GMP-aligned processes commence for ubiquitous phages; outline quality control expectations for phage active pharmaceutical ingredient (pAPI) production and maintenance of BTP and host cell repositories. Additional guidance covers quality management systems, including documentation, traceability, and governance. Conclusion These consensus statements provide comprehensive best practice recommendations for the manufacture and quality control of BTPs in Australia. By promoting consistent, safe, and quality-assured approaches to personalised BTPs, they aim to facilitate clinical implementation while remaining aligned with existing international pharmacopoeial standards and regulatory frameworks.
MURHABAZI BASHOMBWA, A.; TCHIO-NIGHIE, K. H.; NANA DJAPOU, M. C.; BUH NKUM, C.; BLAMA ABBA, I.; BEKOLO, C. E.; ATEUDJIEU, J.
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Health facilities (HFs) routinely administer medicines and are expected to ensure patient safety by detecting, reporting, investigating, and analysing adverse events following exposure to drugs (AEFED). This study aimed to assess the implementation of pharmacovigilance activities in referral and regional health facilities in Cameroon and to identify pharmacovigilance training needs among healthcare personnel (HP). This was a cross-sectional descriptive study targeting referral and regional health facilities and healthcare personnel involved in patient care and pharmacovigilance activities in Cameroon. Health facilities were selected using stratified purposive sampling, while healthcare personnel were selected through exhaustive sampling. Data were collected using semi-structured electronic questionnaires administered face-to-face by trained enumerators. The questionnaires assessed the organization, resources, and implementation of pharmacovigilance activities at health facilities, as well as healthcare personnel knowledge of pharmacovigilance concepts, previous training, and perceived training needs. Of the 14 eligible health facilities, 10 (71.4%) consented to participate in the study. Of the 10 health facilities, 4 (40.0%) had an established pharmacovigilance unit, while 3 (30.0%) reported conducting neither detection nor notification activities. Among the 261 healthcare personnel approached, 214 (81.9%) participated. Only 41.6% had needed knowledge to detect an adverse event, while 72.9% were aware of adverse event notification procedures. Previous exposure to pharmacovigilance training was reported by 37.9% of healthcare personnel, and all participants expressed a need for additional training, particularly on national pharmacovigilance regulations (69.2%), organization of the pharmacovigilance system (67.3%), and adverse event detection (67.3%). The main reported challenges by healthcare personnel in the implementation of pharmacovigilance activities included insufficient budget allocation, limited access to pharmacovigilance training, lack of pharmacovigilance guidelines and insufficient qualified human resources. Pharmacovigilance implementation in referral and regional health facilities in Cameroon remains limited, with gaps in organizational structures, resources, healthcare personnel knowledge, and training. Strengthening pharmacovigilance systems through improved facility capacity, availability of essential tools, and targeted healthcare personnel training is needed to enhance drug safety surveillance.
Perlman, A.; Goldstein, N.; Goldman, M.; Shapiro, M.; Barash, E.; Bar, A.; Raveh, T.; Tordjman, E.; Schussheim, H.; Dormont, F.; Matalon, O.
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Background. Cardiovascular-outcomes trials are lengthy, costly, and associated with substantial uncertainty prior to readout. In-silico trial simulation using real-world data (RWD) has emerged as a potential tool to support earlier decision-making; however, evidence of prospective predictive validity, generated prior to trial result disclosure, remains limited. Methods. We applied a semi-mechanistic machine learning framework integrating real-world patient data with biologically informed drug representations to prospectively simulate the VESALIUS-CV trial evaluating evolocumab versus placebo. The simulation model was trained on a combination of patient-level real-world data and a drug-centric knowledge graph and validated for both patient-level and trial-level retrospective predictive performance. The model was then used to simulate VESALIUS-CV before public disclosure of trial results, using a locked model and prespecified eligibility criteria and primary endpoint aligned with the clinical protocol. A patient-level time-to-event model was used to generate virtual trial arms, from which cumulative incidence curves, hazard ratios, confidence intervals, and p-values for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) were estimated. Results. In retrospective validation, the model demonstrated strong patient-level discrimination, with time-dependent ROC-AUC values ranging from 0.80 to 0.90 across follow-up horizons. For trial-level validation, 22 randomized cardiovascular-outcomes trials were simulated, and hazard ratios for 3-point MACE across 24 between-arm comparisons showed consistent directional agreement and quantitative correlation with published results such that the model accurately predicted trial success, achieving an F1 score of 0.83, with precision of 0.79 and sensitivity of 0.89. In a fully prospective application, the simulation predicted a statistically significant reduction in 3-point MACE with evolocumab versus placebo, estimating a hazard ratio of 0.78 (95% CI, 0.70-0.87) at 54 months. These predictions were consistent with the subsequently reported VESALIUS-CV results, which demonstrated a hazard ratio of 0.75 (95% CI, 0.65-0.86) at 55 months of median follow-up. Conclusions. In a fully prospective setting, a RWD-driven, AI-based simulation accurately predicted the direction, magnitude, and temporal dynamics of treatment effects observed in the VESALIUS-CV trial. These results demonstrate that in-silico trial simulation can anticipate clinical outcomes in the prospective setting, supporting its use as a complementary tool for early decision-making, trial design optimization, and de-risking in cardiovascular drug development.
Mukherjee, E. M.; Asiaee, A.; Park, D.; Krantz, M. S.; Stone, C. A.; Martin-Pozo, M.; Phillips, E. J.
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Importance: Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) produce diverse immune toxicities, but whether checkpoint blockade also modifies associations between other drugs and adverse events is poorly understood. Objective: To define ICI-associated toxicity organization and determine whether drug-associated adverse events and onset vary with ICI exposure and checkpoint pathway. Design and Setting: Cross-sectional analysis of deduplicated FAERS reports from 2016 through 2025; analyses performed in 2026. Participants: Among 13,701,106 deduplicated reports, 2,365,269 were cancer associated and 256,940 contained an ICI. Median age among cancer reports with observed age was 66 years (IQR, 56-75 years); 1,031,999 (43.6%) were female and 1,003,154 (42.4%) were male. Exposures: ICI exposure in any reported drug role, individual primary-suspect drugs, and checkpoint-pathway exposure. Main Outcomes and Measures: Reporting odds ratios (ORs), cross-organ adverse-event communities, adjusted primary-suspect drug x ICI interaction ORs for Stevens-Johnson syndrome/toxic epidermal necrolysis (SJS/TEN), drug reaction with eosinophilia and systemic symptoms (DRESS), acute generalized exanthematous pustulosis (AGEP), interstitial nephritis, drug-induced liver injury (DILI), and vomiting (VOM), and accelerated failure-time model time ratios for documented onset. Results: Of 3001 eligible Preferred Terms in cancer-associated reports, 2091 differed at a false discovery rate (FDR) less than .05. Four cross-organ toxicity communities were identified. Of 138 eligible drug-phenotype pairs, 65 had FDR-significant interactions, including moxifloxacin-SJS/TEN amplification (interaction OR, 101.72; 95% CI, 39.11-264.55), enfortumab vedotin-SJS/TEN attenuation (interaction OR, 0.17; 95% CI, 0.13-0.23), and omeprazole-interstitial nephritis amplification (interaction OR, 10.35; 95% CI, 7.62-14.05). Among 60,324 reports contributing to temporal analyses, ICI exposure was associated with longer adjusted documented time to onset for 5 of 6 phenotypes (time ratios, 1.37-1.59) but not AGEP (time ratio, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.67-1.46). Temporal associations also differed across checkpoint pathways. Conclusions and Relevance: ICIs were associated with a structured cross-organ toxicity landscape, phenotype-specific modification of drug-associated adverse events, and distinct temporal patterns across checkpoint pathways. These findings support checkpoint blockade as a modifier of drug-associated toxicity and motivate longitudinal and mechanistic validation.
Chaturvedi, R. R.; Gracner, T.; Perez-Arce, F.; Suen, S.-c.; Jin, J.; Orriens, B.; Pacula, R. L.; Sexton Ward, A.; Haile, R.; Kapteyn, A.
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Importance: Evidence on GLP-1/GIP therapies is largely derived from trials enrolling selected populations or medical records that miss utilization outside healthcare channels. No nationally representative cohort has characterized real-world uptake, indications, and access. Objective: To characterize GLP-1/GIP prevalence, indication, clinical profile, and access. Design: Prospective cohort study with three GLP-1/GIP surveillance waves (March 2024, December 2024, October 2025). Setting: The Understanding America Study, an address-based, nationally representative panel of approximately 15,000 US adults aged 18+ years initiated in 2014. Participants: UAS participants responding to at least one surveillance wave (n=9150). Exposures: GLP-1/GIP use status (never vs any use, comprising current and former use), self-reported primary indication (diabetes, weight loss, or other), and access pathway (traditional vs non-traditional). Main Outcomes and Measures: Survey-weighted prevalence of GLP-1/GIP use, overall and by indication and access pathway; sociodemographic, cardiometabolic, treatment, and access characteristics; and smartwatch-derived resting heart rate, heart rate variability, maximum activity heart rate, step count, and sleep duration and variability. Results: Among n=9150 adults (1274 with any use; 60.9% female; median age 53 years), weighted prevalence increased 46%, from 8.2% (March 2024) to 12.0% (October 2025) representing 32 million. Weight-loss indications grew, reaching nearly half of use (4.1% to 5.6%); diabetes-indicated use was stable (5.3% to 5.4%). Users carried high cardiometabolic burden (obesity, 68.2%; diabetes, 53.6%) but diverged by indication: diabetes-indicated users were older (median, 59 vs 49 years), whereas weight-loss-indicated users were more often female (69.9% vs 51.3%) and healthier. One in three users (~9 million) had non-traditional access, especially in weight-loss-indicated users, of whom 33% had no conventional prescription; 41% used compounding, online, or foreign pharmacies; and, 43% lacked coverage. Non-traditional users were five times as likely to report an unlisted, likely compounded formulation (19.8% vs 4.1%). All p<0.05. Conclusions and Relevance: Real-world GLP-1/GIP use has grown rapidly and diversified substantially in indication, access, and population profile. One in 3 users obtained treatment through nontraditional channels largely invisible to claims data, raising long-term safety, efficacy, and coverage questions. GLIMMER provides a public, nationally representative longitudinal evidence base for future payer and provider decisions.
Jaber, A.; Hughes, L.; Cameron, A. C.; Quinn, T. J.
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Background: Systematic reviews of clinical prediction models increasingly include studies using artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) methods alongside traditional multivariable regression approaches. A previously published Excel tool enabled standardised data extraction using the CHARMS checklist and risk of bias assessment using PROBAST. The recent publication of the PROBAST+AI framework, which distinguishes the assessment of model development quality from the assessment of model evaluation risk of bias and assesses applicability in both parts, necessitates an updated digital instrument applicable across prediction modelling methods. Methods: We updated an open-access Excel tool to incorporate the full PROBAST+AI framework. The updated template incorporates structural separation between assessment of model development quality and model evaluation risk of bias, with applicability assessed in both parts. It also incorporates updated signalling questions, including those addressing methodological issues particularly relevant to AI/ML, and automates the generation of summary tables and graphical displays. Results: The updated tool (CHARMS & PROBAST+AI Template) contains 11 worksheets and supports data extraction and appraisal for up to 30 prediction models. Dedicated, linked worksheets enable separate assessment of model development and model evaluation, with Domain 4 distinguishing among Apparent, Internal, and External evaluation settings. Key updates include dedicated assessments for predictor pre-processing, class imbalance handling and recalibration, data leakage prevention, and replication of the full model development pipeline within resampling procedures. Automated sheets dynamically format tables and summary charts covering PROBAST+AI parts. Conclusions: The CHARMS & PROBAST+AI Excel template provides a standardised, user-friendly, and rigorous digital framework for systematic reviewers appraising traditional statistical and AI-driven clinical prediction models.
Hendrickx, N.; Mentre, F.; Karlsson, M. O.; Hooker, A. C.; Traschütz, A.; Schüle, R.; PROSPAX Consortium, ; EVIDENCE-RND Consortium, ; Synofzik, M.; Comets, E.
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We propose two new tests to detect drug effects (DE) in trials of one to very few patients followed during two periods (before and after initiation of a treatment). Both methods use longitudinal natural history data to inform the estimation of each patient's DE. The first method uses a non linear mixed effect model (NLMEM) reflecting an expected natural history with a hypothetical drug effect, to estimate the Conditional Distribution of the Drug Effect (CDDE). The second method trains a Pareto Depth Analysis (PDA) algorithm, a machine learning based approach based on outlier detection, that we implement using data simulated under the NLMEM. We evaluated the two tests with a simulation study. We used data from the PROSPAX study in Autosomal Recessive Cerebellar Ataxias (ARCAs, to derive a NLMEM for the Scale for the Assessment and Rating of Ataxia score. The CDDE method provided controlled type I error and, in some scenarios, adequate corrected power, though sensitivity analyses showed vulnerability to misspecification. The PDA method demonstrated lower statistical power except with high score precision. These results highlight different strategies for quantifying treatment effects in ultra rare, patient' specific trials. They can inform methodological design for future ARCA precision therapies.
Khodi Babaroudi, E.; Pham, M. H. X.; Lenz, I. T.; melgaard, e. l. r.; Grand, J.; Hove, J. D.; Seven, E.
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Introduction: Nicotine Pouches are increasingly used as a smokeless alternative to cigarettes and other nicotine products, yet their acute cardiovascular effects remain poorly documented. While nicotine's impact on heart rate and electrocardiogram (ECG) parameters is well-documented in smoking, no trials have evaluated these effects specifically for nicotine pouches. Methods: This study is a single-center, double-blind, placebo-controlled, crossover trial which will include 20 healthy adult nicotine users. Participants will undergo three sessions, receiving either a placebo, 6 mg, or 14 mg nicotine pouch in random order. Heart rate obtained by an ECG and various other ECG parameters, vital signs, and subjective symptoms will be measured at baseline, and multiple time points over 30 minutes. Conclusions: This study aims to determine whether nicotine pouches cause acute changes in heart rate, ECG parameters, vital signs, and self-reported symptoms. We hypothesize that higher nicotine pouch does will lead to measurable increases in heart rate and other autonomic effects compared to placebo.
Pham, T. M.; Smith, J. T.; Mortimer, T. D.; Grad, Y.; Earl, A. M.; Lewis, I. A.; PRIME Consortium,
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Background Using a population-based cohort from the Calgary Health Zone (CHZ), Canada, we integrated longitudinal antimicrobial susceptibility and prescribing data with the whole genome sequences of five major pathogens. We aimed to assess how antimicrobial resistance (AMR) responds to prescribing changes and determine which bacterial strains shape these dynamics. Methods We analysed antibiotic prescribing rates, clinical and genomic data from 7,271 Staphylococcus aureus, 1,609 Enterococcus faecalis, 801 Enterococcus faecium, 11,363 Escherichia coli, and 2,319 Klebsiella pneumoniae isolates, associated with bacteraemia episodes in the CHZ between 2006-2022. Genomic clusters (referred to as strains) were identified using StrainGST and assigned to known sequence types (STs) or clonal complexes (CCs). Strain-level incidence, stratified by community-onset (isolates collected [≤]48h after admission) and hospital-onset (>48h after admission), AMR phenotypes, and prescribing rates were modelled using negative-binomial and binomial regression. Temporal trends were quantified using average annual percentage change (AAPC). Findings Between 2010-2022, fluoroquinolone prescribing declined in both community (AAPC=-6.8% [95% CI -8.1, -5.4]; p<0.0001) and hospital settings (AAPC=-5.1% [-6.5, -3.7]; p<0.0001). This was accompanied by a significant reduction in fluoroquinolone resistance among Gram-positive species. Specifically, S aureus bacteraemia resistant to clinically important antibiotics, cloxacillin, ciprofloxacin, erythromycin, and clindamycin, declined from 2006 to 2022, mostly in hospital-onset cases (AAPC=-16.0%, [-19.3%, -12.7%], p<0.0001). In E coli, ceftriaxone and ciprofloxacin resistance were clustered in ST131 and the emerging ST1193; the latter increased steadily, particularly in community-onset cases (AAPC=17.7%, [0.0%, 30.0%], p<0.0001). CTX-M-27-producing E coli ST131 strains increased (AAPC=23.8%, [17.4%, 30.5%], p<0.0001) between 20082022, while CTX-M-14-producing E coli ST131 declined (AAPC=-15.9%, [-21.3%, -10.2%], p<0.0001) between 2013-2022. These trends were paralleled by an increase in community cephalosporin prescribing (AAPC=7.3%, [4.2%, 10.5%], p<0.0001) between 2010-2022. For K pneumoniae, hypervirulent ST23 was most common (N=88) with an increasing trend in incidence (AAPC=3.0%, [-2.8%, 9.2%]) between 2006-2019. Conclusions The contrasting resistance trends between Gram-positive and Gram-negative species underscore the complexity of AMR control efforts. Effective strategies will require stewardship efforts targeting multiple drug classes, genomic surveillance for emerging resistant strains, and interventions extending beyond hospital settings.
Pinedo-Torres, I.; Taype-Rondan, A.; Vera-Luza, A. A.; Zegarra-Lizana, P. A.; Rojas-Vilca, J. L.; Yovera-Aldana, M.
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Objective. To determine the publication rate of abstracts presented at the American Diabetes Association Scientific Sessions and to evaluate the association between statistical significance of study results and subsequent publication. Research Design and Methods. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of abstracts presented at the 2018 American Diabetes Association Scientific Sessions. The primary exposure was study result category (statistically significant vs. non-statistically significant findings), and the primary outcome was publication in an indexed journal within 5 years after conference presentation. Publication status was determined through PubMed/MEDLINE and Scopus searches. Adjusted relative risks (RRs) and 95% CIs were estimated using generalized linear models with Poisson distribution and robust variance. Results. Among 541 included abstracts, 321 (59.3%) were subsequently published in indexed journals. Abstracts reporting statistically significant findings had a higher publication rate than those reporting non-statistically significant findings (61.9% vs. 42.3%; p=0.002). In the adjusted analysis, abstracts with non-statistically significant findings had a lower likelihood of publication compared with those reporting statistically significant findings (adjusted RR 0.71 [95% CI 0.55-0.93]; p=0.013). Conclusions. Approximately four in ten abstracts presented at the ADA Scientific Sessions were not published within 5 years. Abstracts reporting non-statistically significant findings had a lower likelihood of subsequent publication, suggesting persistent publication bias in diabetology research. Future initiatives promoting the interpretation of effect estimates, confidence intervals and clinical relevance, rather than statistical significance alone, may help reduce selective dissemination of evidence
Qian, Z.; Khera, A.; Makhnoon, S.; Chapman, B. E.; Bryant, B.; Sayers, M.; Compton, F.; Eason, S.; Xing, C.; Ahmad, Z.
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Background. Cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome affects nearly 90% of US adults, yet most individuals at early, modifiable stages remain unidentified outside clinical care. Blood donation centers offer a scalable, non-clinical venue for CKM screening, but the potential benefit of screening in this context remains unclear. We projected the population-level impact of effective digital return of results (ROR) to inform the design of a pragmatic trial. Methods. We developed a Monte Carlo simulation (100,000 iterations) of the incident major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), end-stage renal disease (ESRD), and type 2 diabetes (T2DM) preventable by ROR-prompted, guideline-concordant follow-up among donors in CKM Stages 1-2. The estimand counts only events averted by donors who act because of ROR; the intervention effect was modeled directly on strictly positive support, and action was translated into prevented events through a hazard-based cumulative-incidence difference that counts each donor at most once. We evaluated 18 design cells (donor volumes 300,000, 1 million, and 8 million/year; 5- and 10-year horizons; action-rate gains of +10, +20, and +30 percentage points [pp]) and, in a complementary two-arm simulation, the assurance (expected power) of detecting the effect in a single deployment. Results. Under the primary +20 pp scenario, ROR at a single large blood center (300,000 donors/year) is projected to prevent a median of 2,201 events (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 1,099-4,364) over 10 years, scaling to 58,526 (29,154-116,769) at the national donor pool. All 18 design cells had strictly positive 95% lower bounds. The number needed to screen was 136 and the screening cost $2,045 per event prevented (at $15/donor), both invariant to donor volume. Impact scaled linearly with volume and effect size but sub-linearly with the horizon. Detection of the effect was effectively certain at gains of +20 pp or larger (assurance [≥]99.6% in every cell and >99.9% in all but the smallest 5-year cell). Conclusions. Even under the conservative scenario, digital CKM ROR at blood donation centers is projected to prevent hundreds to tens of thousands of incident cardiometabolic events at a screening cost per event well within accepted prevention benchmarks, providing prospective, quantitative justification for a pragmatic, randomized evaluation of digital ROR in non-clinical screening settings.
Roman, M.; Beasley, N.; Ladak, S. S.; Solomon, C. U.; Liao, W.; Lai, F.; Joel-David, L.; Aujla, H.; Condorelli, G.; Wozniak, M. J.; Codd, V.; Webb, T. R.; Brookes, C.; Murphy, G. J.
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Background: A dose finding trial evaluated safety and adherence for pre-cardiac surgery administration of sodium valproate. Integrated multi-omics analyses of myocardium were used to characterise mechanisms underlying the treatment effects. Methods: Adults undergoing cardiac surgery were randomised 1:1:1:1 with concealed allocation to no treatment (Controls), sodium valproate 15mg/kg/day for 1-2 weeks, 15mg/kg/day for 4-6 weeks, or 25mg/kg/day for 4-6 weeks pre-surgery. The primary analysis evaluated adherence and toxicity. Myocardial injury was defined by high sensitivity serum troponin at 24 hours post-surgery. Single-nucleus Assay for Transposase-Accessible Chromatin with sequencing (snATACseq) and single nuclei RNA sequencing (snRNAseq) of myocardial biopsies collected at surgery assessed treatment effects on chromatin accessibility and gene expression. Candidate mechanisms were validated in in vitro. Results: The analysis cohort included 42 participants enrolled between January 2020 and August 2024. Non-compliance (38%) was highest with longer and higher dosing. Sodium valproate 15mg/kg/day for 1-2 weeks had the highest levels of complete treatment adherence (70%), with 20% experiencing moderate/severe drug related adverse effects. An as-treated analyses demonstrated reductions in troponin release in participants receiving Valproate[≤]14 days. Myocardial biopsies from trial participants demonstrated activation of hormetic p53 and Akt-GSK-3{beta} ferroptosis protection pathways. Treatment effects were not attributable to chromatin accessibility. Treatment >14 days resulted in a heart failure phenotype with suppression of ferroptosis protection pathways, endothelial mesenchymal transition, and increased myocardial injury. Conclusions: Sodium valproate 15mg/kg/day for [≤]14 days pre-surgery is well tolerated in adults awaiting cardiac surgery. This treatment was associated with upregulation of ferroptosis protection pathways and reductions in myocardial injury.
Gorobets, O.; Vinh-Hung, V.
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Background: Prostate cancer enzalutamide treatment is approved at a standard dose of 160 mg daily. Concerns for real-world patients -- older and more fragile than those enrolled in clinical trials -- have prompted consideration of initiating treatment with lower doses, but the long-term efficacy of this approach remains unknown. We evaluate the long-term survival and longevity in patients treated with standard versus upfront low-dose enzalutamide. Methods: Retrospective analysis of 151 patients treated with enzalutamide (102 receiving 160 mg; 49 receiving [≤]80 mg) between 2014--2021 at the Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Martinique, with complete follow-up through end of life (98.7% completeness of follow-up). Primary outcomes were overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and longevity (attained age). Results: Doses [≤]80 mg were associated with longer median OS (36.3 vs. 20.7 months), improved restricted mean OS (difference of 0.7 years, p=0.05), and enhanced longevity (median 82.5 vs. 78.3 years, p=0.004). PSA response rate at 12 weeks was higher with lower-dose (71.4% vs. 48.8%, p=0.016). In multivariable models adjusted for prognostic factors, [≤]40 mg compared with 160 mg was non-inferior regarding OS (HR=0.61, 95% CI 0.36--1.06), superior regarding PFS (HR=0.59, 95% CI 0.35--0.99), and superior regarding longevity (HR=0.48, 95% CI 0.28--0.84). Bone metastasis, poor performance status, PSA response, time to PSA nadir, and disease duration were independent predictors of outcomes. A post-hoc analysis revealed a strong association between dose and physician-prescribing profiles, ranging from "endorse-lowest-dose" to "never-deviate-from-full-dose". Conclusions: Lower doses of enzalutamide were non-inferior to full-dose. Dose-adapted strategies warrant further investigation.
Choi, L.; McNeer, E.; Beck, C. A.; Neul, J. L.
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Bayesian borrowing of external information can improve trial efficiency, particularly in pediatric and rare disease settings where patient populations are limited, but may introduce bias and inflate the Type~I error rate when the trial differs from external studies. Recent U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) draft Bayesian guidance emphasizes careful evaluation of external information, prior specification, and assessment of operating characteristics. This paper compares three meta-analytic-predictive (MAP)-based methods for Bayesian borrowing: the MAP prior, robust MAP (RMAP) prior, and self-adapting mixture (SAM) prior. An adaptive platform trial design in Rett syndrome is used as a case study. Simulation studies evaluate frequentist operating characteristics under varying prior--data conflict, between-study heterogeneity, treatment effects, and clinically significant differences (CSDs) for the SAM prior. The MAP prior achieved the greatest efficiency when external and current data were compatible but exhibited the largest bias under substantial prior--data conflict. The RMAP priors improved robustness through fixed robust-component weights, whereas the SAM prior adaptively adjusted borrowing and was less sensitive to prior--data conflict while retaining efficiency gains when the data were compatible. Although the CSD influenced the degree of adaptive borrowing, as reflected by effective sample size, it had only a modest impact on frequentist operating characteristics. Sensitivity analyses using a skeptical robust component yielded similar qualitative conclusions, while accentuating the differences between the MAP and RMAP priors. These findings provide guidance for evaluating and selecting MAP-based borrowing strategies before trial implementation, particularly in rare disease settings, consistent with current FDA recommendations.
Giordano, S.; Corcione, N.; Morello, A.; Cimmino, M.; Albanese, M.; Ferraro, P.; Vecchione, G.; Amat-Santos, I. J.; Giordano, A.; Biondi-Zoccai, G.
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Background: Bailout cardiac surgery during transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) is uncommon but remains associated with substantial morbidity and mortality. Although registries have described its incidence and major causes, they often provide limited detail regarding device-related failure mechanisms, attempted transcatheter rescue, and the clinical pathway leading to surgical conversion. We aimed at analyzing post-marketing safety reports from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Manufacturer and User Facility Device Experience (MAUDE) database to characterize the mechanisms, management strategies, and reported outcomes of bailout surgery during or shortly after TAVR. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed FDA MAUDE reports received from July 1, 2016, through June 30, 2026. Eligible reports described unplanned urgent or emergent open cardiac surgery during or immediately after TAVR. Candidate reports were screened, adjudicated, and deduplicated at the clinical-event level. Events were classified by precipitating complication, transcatheter rescue, operative pathway, and reported outcome. Associations were evaluated using permutation tests, Fisher exact tests with Benjamini?Hochberg correction, adjusted regression models, and sensitivity analyses. Results: After screening 43,239 initial reports, we identified 376 bailout-surgery events, with survival status was documented in 254, including 104 deaths and 150 survivors, corresponding to 40.9% reported mortality. Valve embolization, migration, or malposition was the most frequent complication phenotype (32.4%), whereas ventricular perforation or laceration was associated with the highest mortality (74.1%; OR, 4.86; 95% CI, 1.97?11.99). Mortality differed across complication phenotypes (p<0.001) and operative pathways (p<0.001), but not across transcatheter rescue pathways (p=0.355). Valve explantation with SAVR was associated with lower reported mortality (18.9%; OR, 0.29; 95% CI, 0.12?0.69), whereas unspecified surgery or access/support alone was associated with higher mortality (56.9%; OR, 3.04; 95% CI, 1.80?5.12). Ancillary analyses identified potential platform-specific differences in complication and management patterns, while bailout timing was not independently associated with mortality after adjustment. Conclusions: In this MAUDE analysis, bailout cardiac surgery after TAVR was most commonly precipitated by valve embolization, migration, or malposition, whereas ventricular perforation or laceration was associated with the highest reported mortality. Outcomes differed across complication and operative pathways but not across transcatheter rescue strategies or bailout timing after adjustment. These findings identify clinically relevant post-marketing safety signals but should not be interpreted as incidence estimates, comparative device risks, or causal treatment effects.
Gorenshtein, A.; Adiniaev, Y.; Srour, A.; Klang, E.; Daniel, O.
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Objective: Whether a scheduled antiseizure medication (ASM) continues on schedule across the ICU-to-floor transfer has not been characterized. We quantified ASM administration-gap frequency across this transfer and compared it with gap frequency during matched non-transfer intervals in the same patient and drug. Methods: In this retrospective MIMIC-IV (version 3.1) cohort study, we identified epilepsy and status-epilepticus admissions with an ICU stay followed by floor transfer and a scheduled ASM order active at ICU departure. A gap was defined as an interval exceeding 1.5 times the expected dosing interval between the last ICU dose and first floor dose, or no further dose before discharge, and compared with a matched non-transfer control interval in the same patient and drug (paired McNemar test). A multivariable model evaluated six prespecified clinical predictors; sociodemographic variables were summarized descriptively. Results: Among 2,469 ASM transition-by-drug observations (1,583 admissions, 1,335 patients), an administration gap occurred in 251 (10.2%; 95% CI, 8.7%-11.7%). Gap frequency across the transfer exceeded frequency during matched non-transfer control intervals in the same patient and drug: a paired rate difference of 5.8 percentage points (95% CI, 4.4-7.1; 7.5% vs 1.7%; P = 7.3 x 10^-22) before the transfer and 6.4 percentage points (95% CI, 4.9-7.9; 8.9% vs 2.5%; P = 1.9 x 10^-23) after. Gap rates were similar for intravenous-available (9.9%) and oral-only (11.4%) drugs (rate difference, 1.5 percentage points; 95% CI, -1.6 to 4.5; P = .34). None of six prespecified predictors reached significance after correction. Significance: An antiseizure medication administration gap occurred in approximately 1 of every 10 drug-transition observations at the ICU-to-floor transfer, exceeding matched non-transfer gap rates by 5.8 to 6.4 percentage points. This transfer-associated excess, rather than any single medication or patient characteristic, supports a structured medication-continuity check.
Manikam, L.; Fatima, A.; Patil, P.; Mayadewi, C. A.; El Khatib, T.; Drazdzewska, J.; Oyebode, O.; Llewellyn, C. H.; Webb-Martin, K.; Irish, C.; Archibong, M.; Gilmour, J.; Kalungi, P.; Batura, N.; Shringarpure, K.; Lakhanpaul, M.; Heys, M.; NEON Steering Team,
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South Asian communities in the UK experience disproportionate maternal and child health inequalities linked to non-recommended infant feeding practices, limited health literacy, and socioeconomic constraints. Participatory learning and action (PLA) is effective in low- and middle-income countries, but high-income evidence is scarce. This pilot assessed the feasibility of a community facilitator-led PLA intervention to improve infant feeding among South Asian families in East London. A three-arm pilot feasibility cluster randomised controlled trial (ISRCTN10234623) was conducted in Tower Hamlets and Newham, East London (May-September 2022), with 12 wards randomised 1:1:1 to face-to-face PLA, online PLA, or usual care. Multilingual community facilitators delivered eight biweekly sessions over 14 weeks. Feasibility outcomes were assessed against prespecified Go/Stop criteria; exploratory outcomes included child feeding behaviours (Children's Eating Behaviour Questionnaire, CEBQ), parental feeding style (Parental Feeding Style Questionnaire, PFSQ), and child BMI Z-scores. Of 263 enrolled participants, 261 had a recorded trial arm allocation; consent to the pilot feasibility study was 70.7% (186/263; 95% CI 65.0-75.9%) meeting the [≥]50% Go criterion. Attendance was 37% (Tower Hamlets 59%, Newham 29%), below the [≥]80% Go threshold. Six-month retention was 54.8% (Tower Hamlets 78%, Newham 48.5%; 95% CI 41.8-55.3%), triggering the Definite Stop criterion. Significant baseline imbalances included BMI Z-score (p = 0.005), ethnicity, borough, and education; no between-arm BMI differences were observed at follow-up (p = 0.249). CEBQ and PFSQ baseline completion was 24.5% and 23.0%, with no usable follow-up data. PLA Phases 3 and 4 were not completed by any group; all participants providing feedback reported it acceptable. Recruitment was feasible and the intervention acceptable, but a Definite Stop criterion was triggered in Newham, no group completed the full PLA cycle, and outcome data were insufficient for evaluation. A definitive trial requires stratified randomisation, digitised multilingual data collection, participant reimbursement, and explicit PLA phase-completion criteria.
da Silva, K.; Sarkodie, S.; Marques, K.; Vieira, P.; Oliveira, R. D. d.; Pereira dos Santos, P. C.; Moreira Puga, M. A.; Costa, A. G.; Gregorio Machado, J. P.; Spener-Gomes, R.; Yang, E.; Savic, R.; Cordeiro-Santos, M.; Croda, J.; Andrews, J. R.
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Background: Polymorphisms in the N-acetyltransferase 2 (NAT2) gene explain much of the interindividual variation in isoniazid (INH) metabolism and determine risk of toxicities. However, there is limited evidence to guide INH dose adjustment according to the NAT2 acetylator profile in weekly rifapentine-INH tuberculosis preventive therapy (TPT). Methods: In a prospective, multicenter, within-subject PK trial (NCT05413551), adults initiating 3HP in Brazil were assigned genotype-guided INH doses (slow: 5 mg/kg <=300 mg; intermediate: 15 mg/kg <=900 mg; rapid: 25 mg/kg <=1,500 mg) alongside a standard 900 mg flat dose on an alternate occasion. AUC0-24 and C24 were estimated from serial blood samples; a two-compartment Michaelis-Menten population PK model characterized NAT2 effects on clearance. Results: Among 228 participants, 47.4% (108/228) were intermediate, 43.4% (99/228) slow, and 9.2% (21/228) rapid acetylators. Genotype-guided dosing reduced AUC0-24 variability approximately two-fold versus standard dosing (CV 58.8% vs 76.8%) and increased exposure uniformity (median AUC0-24 27.2 [IQR 18.8-41.3] vs 43.2 [27.3-71.0] mg h/L). Among slow acetylators, C24 >0.15 ug/mL decreased from 27/42 (64%) with standard dosing to 1/42 (2%) with genotype-guided dosing (P<0.0001). In 104 participants with intensive PK sampling, rapid acetylators receiving guided doses had AUC0-24 similar to standard-dose intermediate acetylators (42.8 vs 39.5 mg h/L; P=.63). Monte Carlo simulations supported doses of 600, 900, and 1,200 mg for slow, intermediate, and rapid acetylators, respectively. Conclusions: NAT2-guided isoniazid dosing reduced variation in drug levels, averting very low and high AUC and C24. These findings inform genotype-stratified dosing of INH for TPT, which might reduce toxicities and improve outcomes.
Reese, T.; Audet, C.; Ancker, J.; Wright, A.; Marcovitz, D.; Kast, K. A.; Bridges, J.; Tindle, H.; Shah, M.; von Horn, A.; Matheny, M. E.
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Introduction: Risk of recurrent opioid use during buprenorphine-naloxone (bup-nx) treatment is dynamic and remains elevated after initiation, with vulnerability shaped in part by treatment intensity and gaps between visits, yet routine outpatient care relies on episodic encounters and retrospective data. This mismatch can delay recognition of emerging instability and limit timely treatment adjustments. This paper reports the development and specification of an intervention strategy to address this mismatch. Methods: We used a structured, multi-phase design process to specify and configure a measurement-based care (MBC) strategy for bup-nx treatment (Bup-MBC) in outpatient addiction clinics through three phases: (1) a systematic review of patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) for substance use treatment; (2) a qualitative needs assessment using the Theoretical Domains Framework and COM-B (Capability, Opportunity, Motivation-Behavior) model to identify gaps in risk monitoring, agency, and trust; and (3) iterative co-design with multidisciplinary clinicians to refine workflow fit and trust-preserving use of data. Patients informed item and feedback content during the needs assessment but did not participate in the co-design cycles. Results: Bup-MBC integrates (1) brief between-visit PROMs (e.g., withdrawal, craving, adherence); (2) immediate non-punitive patient feedback; (3) clinician-facing summaries and non-directive prompts in the electronic health record (EHR); and (4) an opt-in between-visit outreach pathway with predefined safety triggers, all configured within existing EHR and patient portal infrastructure. It targets patient and clinician capability to recognize changes in risk, opportunity for action through structured monitoring and visit preparation, and trust and agency through non-punitive communication, without adding substantial burden. The full measure set, severity bands, and question-to-action map are provided as supplementary material. Key trade-offs included prioritizing single-item measures for feasibility, balancing opt-in outreach with safety overrides, and assuming routine clinician use of summaries. Conclusion: This development study specifies an EHR-integrated MBC strategy for outpatient bup-nx treatment. As single-center design work with co-design limited to clinicians and delivery contingent on portal or text-message access, its outputs are hypotheses about mechanism and fit rather than demonstrated effects. Feasibility studies are needed to evaluate uptake, acceptability, workflow fit, and effects on treatment.